Posts Tagged ‘bob mcdonnell’

Negative Response Ads: Not Just for Politicians Anymore

Friday, December 4th, 2009

Negative advertising is nothing new in the political realm, but there is a new trend of response ads appearing in the retail industry as well.  Negative political television ads have been around for decades (see Daisy, Willie Horton, 3am phone call), and some of these spots include response ads directly mentioning another opponents ad.  A recent example would be the Virginia Governors race with McConnell and Deeds placing negative ads and using each other’s visuals.

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 While negative advertising has been around in retail as well, usually it is based on the smaller share attacking the industry leader, not a back and forth battle. The classic examples are Pepsi vs. Coke and more recently Mac vs Windows:

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 Usually the leader would ignore the competitor to maintain their brand’s positive image. However, a new trend emerging is an actual response from the leaders in the example of the recent Verizon and AT&T 3G ad campaign.  Verizon’s television ads display a map comparing the two coverages and even uses a play on words for AT&T’s exclusive contract with the popular IPhone, mimicking “There’s an app for that” with “There’s a map for that”.  The difference from other retail negative campaigns is that AT&T responded to these claims with an ad of their own showing their coverage map and even hired a Hollywood actor to deliver the message. Here are the two ads:

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AT&T might have been just trying to dispel misleading accusations, but the fact that they rolled out a large-scale campaign instead of a simple press release is significant. The two companies even sued and countersued each other reminiscent of a bitter political campaign debate.  Whether this is a bigger trend or an isolated instance is yet to be seen.

McDonnell Wins 59% of Votes in Virginia

Friday, November 13th, 2009

Bob McDonnell won the 2009 Virginia Gubernatorial Election by one of the largest margins of victory the Commonwealth has seen in years, beating his opponent Creigh Deeds by a remarkable 17.36%. McDonnell’s victory becomes even more impressive when compared to the 2006 Senatorial Election, where Sen. Jim Webb won by a mere 0.39%. Comparing each candidate’s margin of victory by county reveals a striking change in the political landscape of Virginia. The following maps displays margin of victory of each candidate by county.

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Click on the image for a more detailed view of the map.

McDonnell beat his opponent Creigh Deeds by a margin of 10% or higher in 102 of Virginia’s 134 counties. He won 87 of those counties by a margin of 20% or higher. McDonnell even won the notoriously liberal Fairfax County, albeit by a slim margin of 1.63%.

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In 2006, Sen. Jim Webb only won 26 counties by a margin of 10% or higher. Webb lost in 93 counties and won in 41, but managed to secure the big Northern Virginia counties such as Fairfax, Arlington, Prince William, and Loudon.

Despite the heightened media attention this gubernatorial race received, the 2009 election saw a lower voter turnout than in previous years. On Election Day, 40% of registered voters showed up at the polls. In the 2006 Senatorial race, 53% of registered voters participated in the election.

Click here to see the historical statewide election results from 1997 to 2009.

Bolling, Cuccinelli, Shannon Place Advertising in VA

Thursday, September 24th, 2009

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Virginia broadcast and cable began airing new political advertising this week from the candidates running for Attorney General and Lieutenant Governor.

Ken Cuccinelli for Attorney General, Steve Shannon for Attorney General, and Bill Bolling for Lieutenant Governor all placed ads in the Norfolk, Richmond, Roanoke, Tri-Cities, and DC markets, while Deeds and McDonnell continued with their statewide advertising schedules. The above map compares how much each candidate spent by market for the week of 9/22-9/28.

This chart details how much money each candidate and issue group has placed in each market since the week of 8/31, and show the grand total of spending since 5/11.

Cuccinelli placed a total of $672k in Norfolk, Richmond, and Roanoke broadcast for five weeks of advertising from 9/29-11/2.

Click here to see a map of Cuccinelli’s spending.

Shannon placed a total of $140k in Norfolk, Richmond, Roanoke, Tri-Cities, and DC broadcast and cable for one week, 9/22-9/27. He placed $100k of the total sum in Norfolk, Richmond, and Roanoke broadcast, and he placed $40k of the total sum in Norfolk, Richmond, Roanoke, Tri-Cities, and DC cable networks NB, CNN, FXNC, HLN, MNBC, TNT, and USA.

Click here to see a map of Shannon’s spending.

Bolling placed a total of $74k in Norfolk, Richmond, Roanoke, and DC broadcast and cable for 9/22-9/28. He placed $67k of the total sum in broadcast, and he placed $8k of the total sum in Norfolk and DC cable networks CNN, DISC, ESPN, and HIST.

Click here to see a map of Bolling’s spending.

Creigh Deeds placed a total of $807k in Virginia broadcast and cable for 9/22-9/29. He placed $661k of the total sum in broadcast, and he placed $146k of the total sum in cable networks CNN, ESPN, TLC, AEN, DISC, HGTV, LIF, TBS, TNT, USA, BRVO, and MNBC.

Click here to see a map of Deeds’ spending.

Bob McDonnell placed a total of $648k in statewide broadcast and cable for 9/21-9/28. He placed $528k of the total sum in broadcast, and $120k of the total sum in cable CNB, AMC, CNN, DISC, ESPN, FXNC, FOOD, HGTV, HIST, TNT, USA, TWC, SPK, and LIF.

Click here to see a map of McDonnell’s spending.

Virginia Gubernatorial Primary: A Closer Look

Tuesday, September 15th, 2009

Smart Media Group obtained the public files from the television stations in Washington, DC and Richmond, VA in order to determine how political candidates and issue groups were spending money on advertising in Virginia for the 2009 gubernatorial primary. Our goal was to determine how much money each candidate spent in each market and how many gross ratings points they achieved.

Candidate Spending in Richmond, VA: WRIC-TV, WRLH-TV, WTVR-TV, and WWBT-TV

Bob McDonnell consistently paid the lowest cost per point each week out of all the candidates who advertised during the Virginia Primary. He paid an average $53 CPP each week, achieving around 670 GRPs each flight during his first three weeks on air. Overall, he spent $156k and gained a total of 2,967 GRPs from 5/4-6/9.

Terry McAuliffe paid a higher cost per point for advertising. More inconsistent in each flight than McDonnell, McAuliffe paid an average of $62 CPP per week. But with $286k to spend in the market, he achieved the most GRPs out of anyone – a total of 4,631 GRPs.

Creigh Deeds paid the highest cost per point out of all the candidates, averaging $66 CPP. He also proved inconsistent in comparison to McDonnell each week. Deeds spent $192k in Richmond and achieved 2,895 GRPs.

As an issue group, Common Sense Virginia paid a much higher cost per point than any of the candidates. They paid an average $92 CPP each week, spending a total of $186k and gaining a total of 2,021 GRPs.

These charts detail each candidate’s gross ratings points, monetary spending, cost per points, and total spots purchased in Richmond during the weeks of 5/4, 5/11, 5/18, 6/1, and 6/8.

Candidate Spending in Washington, DC: WJLA-TV, WRC-TV, WTTG-TV, WUSA-TV

Bob McDonnell went up on air in the Washington, DC market the week of 5/11 and stayed up for four weeks until the week of 6/8. He paid the lowest cost per point in the DC market as well, averaging $430 CPP each week. McDonnell spent a total of $930,600, gaining a total of 2,163 GRPs.

Terry McAuliffe paid the highest cost per point – $808, nearly double of that which McDonnell paid. He waited until the week of 5/25 to go up on air, placing a total of $636k in the market and achieving 788 GRPs.

Creigh Deeds went up on air in the Washington, DC market one week before the election on 6/9. He placed $285k – half of his entire broadcast budget for 6/1-6/9 – in this one market. Deeds paid an average $594 CPP and achieved 480 GRPs.

These charts detail each candidate’s gross ratings points, monetary spending, cost per points, and total spots purchased in Washington, DC during the weeks of 5/11, 5/18, 6/1, and 6/8.

Seven Weeks Until Election Day in Virgina

Tuesday, September 15th, 2009

The gubernatorial candidates have continued advertising for the week of 9/15-9/21, with seven weeks to go until Election Day. Take a look at the maps below to gain an idea of where the candidates are spending their money.

This chart details how much money each candidate and issue group has placed in each market since the week of 8/25, and show the grand total of spending since 5/11.

Deeds placed a total of $630k in statewide broadcast and cable for 9/15-9/21. He placed $512k of the total sum in broadcast, and he placed $117k of the total sum in the cable networks CNN, ESPN, TLC, AEN, DISC, HGTV, LIF, TBS, TNT, USA, BRVO, MNBC. You can view his ads here. Below is a heat map that shows Deeds’ spending in each DMA.

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Click here to see a full size version of the map.

McDonnell placed a total of $602k in statewide broadcast and cable for 9/14-9/20. He placed $482k of the total sum in broadcast, and he placed $119k of the total sum in the cable networks CNN, AMC, ESPN, LIF, FOOD, FXNC, HGTV, HIST, SPK, TNT, TWC. You can view his new ad, “Protect”, here. Below is a heat map that shows McDonnell’s spending in each DMA.

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Click here to see a full size version of the map.

Virginia Common Sense placed a total of $237k in broadcast and cable for 9-10-9/18. They placed $248k of the total sum in broadcast, and they placed $38k of the total sum in cable. Below is a heat map that shows Virginia Common Sense’s spending in each DMA. Click on the map to expand.

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Click here to see a full size version of the map.

McDonnell and Deeds Hit Northern Virginia Airwaves

Thursday, September 3rd, 2009

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With two months to go until Election Day, both Bob McDonnell and Creigh Deeds’ advertising campaigns have launched into full swing with ads scheduled to start airing in the Washington, DC market the week of 9/7-9/14.

McDonnell placed a statewide total of $488k in broadcast and cable for 9/7-9/14. He placed $399k of the total sum in broadcast, and $88k of the total sum in cable.

Deeds placed a statewide total of $573k in broadcast and cable for 9/7-9/14. He placed $472k of the total sum in broadcast, and $100k of the total sum in cable.

Each candidate had previously placed two week’s worth of broadcast and cable advertising in all other markets in Virginia before entering the DC market. McDonnell has spent a total of $828k in broadcast and cable advertising since 8/25, while Creigh Deeds has spent a total of $1.1 million since 8/25. Virginia Common Sense has spent at least $709k in broadcast and cable advertising for 8/26-10/1.

This chart compares the total dollars spent between each candidate and issue group from 8/31 onwards.

Having entered into the Northern Virginia area, each campaign can expect to spend a much more significant amount of more campaign dollars on advertising each week.

VA: And They’re Off!

Wednesday, August 26th, 2009

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After a two month silence since the end of the primary election in June, this week Creigh Deeds, Bob McDonnell, and the GOP issue group Virginia Common Sense have reemerged on the airwaves, placing new broadcast and cable advertising schedules in Virginia for 8/25-8/31. With ten weeks to go until the general election, how will each candidate allocate his campaign dollars in advertising?

Deeds placed a total of $247k in broadcast and cable this week (8/25-8/31) in all markets except for Washington, DC. He placed $183k of the total sum in broadcast, and $64k of the total sum in cable. His new ad can be viewed here. *Update: Deeds extended his flight to 9/2, placing an additional $148k in broadcast and cable. This brings his total dollars spent on advertising for 8/25-9/2 to $395k.

McDonnell placed a total of $141k in broadcast and cable this week (8/25-8/31) in all markets except for Washington, DC. He placed $107k of the total sum in broadcast, and $34k of the total sum in cable. His new ad can be viewed here. McDonnell placed another $189k in advertising for 8/31-9/6. This brings his total dollars spent on advertising for 8/25-9/6 to $331k.

Finally, Virginia Common Sense, a republican issue group, has also placed buy for $262k for 8/26-8/31 in broadcast and cable this week as well. Their ad can be viewed here.

This chart compares this week’s spending between the two gubernatorial candidates.

Each candidate placed the bulk of his advertising dollars in the Norfolk, Richmond, and Roanoke markets. Northern Virginia will most likely have to wait a while before receiving any ads in their expensive market.